KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbdul El-Sayed, 6-9% 13%+1.0%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.7K
Liquidity
$82.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
40.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Jun 8, 26, 5:30 PMAug 4, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%13%
Large trades
$1.8k76.0%KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed, ≥15% — No17d ago
KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed, ≥15% — No17d agoVolume trend
$5.7kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.