South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityLarry Rhoden, ≥25% 89%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$725
Liquidity
$865
Low liquidityBid / Ask
88.0% / 93.0%
Spread
5.7%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 2:30 PMJul 28, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Larry Rhoden, ≥25%89%
Volume trend
$725Jul 243d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
$5.7KAbdul El-Sayed, 6-9%: 13%KALSHI
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)
$4.1KDarline Graham, 0-5%: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIWisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?
$1.3KFrancesca Hong, ≥15%: 49%KALSHI
KALSHIMO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
$1.1KWesley Bell, 6-9%: 71%KALSHI
KALSHIAZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?
$117.7Mark Lamb, 15-20%: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?
$15.6Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRules
If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses.
- If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.