KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityWesley Bell, 6-9% 71%+65.0%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 10.0%
Spread
150.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 2:43 PMAug 4, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Wesley Bell, 6-9%71%
Volume trend
$1.1kJul 243d of dataJul 26
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If the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Cori Bush minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cori Bush if Cori Bush wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cori Bush loses.
- If Cori Bush wins, the margin will be positive; if Cori Bush loses, the margin will be negative; if Cori Bush ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Cori Bush runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.