South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)
5.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDarline Graham, 0-5% 4%-5.0%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.4K
Liquidity
$7.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 6.0%
Spread
50.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 6:55 PMAug 11, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Darline Graham, 0-5%4%
Volume trend
$4.4kJul 216d of dataJul 26
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If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses.
- If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.