Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?
21.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityFrancesca Hong, ≥15% 49%+21.0%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
36.0% / 42.0%
Spread
16.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 3:42 PMAug 11, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Francesca Hong, ≥15%49%
Large trades
$1.4k95.0%KALSHIDavid Crowley, 3-6% — No4d ago
KALSHIDavid Crowley, 3-6% — No4d agoVolume trend
$1.3kJul 207d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
$6KAbdul El-Sayed, 6-9%: 13%KALSHI
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)
$4.4KDarline Graham, 0-5%: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIMO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
$1.1KWesley Bell, 6-9%: 71%KALSHI
KALSHISouth Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)
$725Larry Rhoden, ≥25%: 89%KALSHI
KALSHIAZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?
$117.7Mark Lamb, 15-20%: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?
$15.6Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRules
If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hong minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Francesca Hong if Francesca Hong wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Francesca Hong loses.
- If Francesca Hong wins, the margin will be positive; if Francesca Hong loses, the margin will be negative; if Francesca Hong ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Francesca Hong runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.