KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityRandy Fine, 40-50% 6%-2.0%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9.6
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
May 9, 26, 12:00 AMAug 18, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Randy Fine, 40-50%6%
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If the margin of victory for Randy Fine in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary falls within 50% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Randy Fine minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Randy Fine if Randy Fine wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Randy Fine loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Randy Fine minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Randy Fine if Randy Fine wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Randy Fine loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Randy Fine minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Randy Fine wins, or the electoral votes received by Randy Fine minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Randy Fine does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.