KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
AI / Artificial Intelligence 96%+1.0ptLeader of 13 outcomes
AI / Artificial Intelligence 96%+1.0ptMarket quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$224.4
Open interest
$382.4
Low open interestSpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 5:15 PM UTCOct 15, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Christopher Waller says the named outcome as part of FRED Con: Navigating Trust, AI & Storytelling in a World of Data originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the FRED Con: Navigating Trust, AI & Storytelling in a World of Data originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the FRED Con: Navigating Trust, AI & Storytelling in a World of Data originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Christopher Waller speaking in an official capacity.