KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Transgender 93%Leader of 37 outcomes
Transgender 93%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Open interest
$2.5K
Low open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 12:15 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Kamala, or a plural or possessive form of Kamala, is stated by Donald Trump after September 28, 2026 at 8:15am ET and before Oct 5, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationPBSthe President of the United StatesCBSNBCBloombergAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Times
- Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
- Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
- Grammatical/tense inflections.