KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above -0.4% · —
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Stored price
Above -0.4% 89.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Above -0.4% 89.5%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1
Open interest
$169.6
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Above -0.4%Spread
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Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 5:30 PM UTCNov 17, 26, 1:25 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above -0.4%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
UK retail sales in October
KalshiWill US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceed 7,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceed 40,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceed 8,000 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceed 15,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExUS existing home sales for October
KalshiRules
If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above -0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
Rules for each outcome
- Above -0.4%
- If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above -0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -0.2%
- If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above -0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.0%
- If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.2%
- If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.4%
- If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above 0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.6%
- If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above 0.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.8%
- If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above 0.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.0%
- If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.2%
- If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above 1.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.4%
- If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above 1.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.6%
- If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above 1.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
