KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above -0.5% 77%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0.1
Liquidity
$157.5
Low liquiditySpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 21, 26, 1:15 PM UTCSep 18, 26, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US retail sales in August
KalshiUS existing home sales for August
KalshiUS existing home: median sales price in August
KalshiWill August 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceed 41,200 million dollars in August 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceed 41,600 million dollars in August 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $354.3K
- 24h Vol
- $354.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+4.0pt50%
- 65-89+27.0pt47.1%
- 90-114-2.4pt2.9%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-219-1.0pt18.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.2pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 more outcomes
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for UK retail sales in August?
- Kalshi prices Above -0.5% at 77% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does UK retail sales in August resolve?
- UK retail sales in August is scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026.
- How is UK retail sales in August settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.