KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above -3% 82%+12.0ptLeader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$18.9K
Liquidity
$26.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 2:56 AM UTCMar 4, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
KFC same-store sales growth in Q3
KalshiTaco Bell same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026
KalshiDomino's US same store sales growth in 2026
KalshiWill Taco Bell start selling burgers before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Retail Sales growth rate be greater than 1% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Retail Sales growth rate be greater than 0.5% in December 2026?
ForecastExRules
If Yum! Brands Inc. reports above -3% taco bell same-store sales growth in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Yum! Brands Inc. reports above -2% taco bell same-store sales growth in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Yum! Brands Inc. reports above -1% taco bell same-store sales growth in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Yum! Brands Inc. reports above 0% taco bell same-store sales growth in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $190.5K
- 24h Vol
- $190.5K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt96%
- Apple-0.1pt3%
- Alphabet+0.2pt1%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt56.4%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.7%
- 90-114+2.1pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $211.6K
- 24h Vol
- $45.2K
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.2K
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Chewy active customers in Q2
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3?
- Kalshi prices Above -3% at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3 resolve?
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3 is scheduled to resolve on March 4, 2027.
- How is Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Yum! Brands Inc. reports above -3% taco bell same-store sales growth in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.