KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 50 · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
Above 125 Stored bid–ask49%–57%Collected: Last trade: 27% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market line of 7 lines
Above 125 Stored bid–ask49%–57%Collected: Last trade: 27% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.5K
Open interest
$3.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 50Spread
—
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 6, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 50
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Dick's Sporting Goods Credit Card Spend in October
KalshiFitness Centers Ad Spend in October
KalshiConsumer Electronics Ad Spend in October
KalshiBroadline Retail Ad Spend in October
KalshiWill US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceed 7,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceed 8,000 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the Carbon Arc Sporting Goods Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 125, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 5th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 5th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Sporting Goods Ad Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Carbon Arc. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 50
- If the Carbon Arc Sporting Goods Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 85
- If the Carbon Arc Sporting Goods Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 85, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 95
- If the Carbon Arc Sporting Goods Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 95, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 105
- If the Carbon Arc Sporting Goods Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 105, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 115
- If the Carbon Arc Sporting Goods Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 115, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 125
- If the Carbon Arc Sporting Goods Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 125, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 225
- If the Carbon Arc Sporting Goods Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 225, then the market resolves to Yes.
