KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Cartesia (99%)
Resolved: Sep 11, 2026, 3:05 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Cartesia
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
87%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 11, 2026, 1:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
SpeechifyAI1%
VUI Labs1%
StepFun1%
Smallest.ai1%
MiniMax1%
Fish Audio1%
Mistral1%
OpenAI1%
Google1%
Async1%
ElevenLabs5%
Inworld1%
Cartesia99%
Amazon1%
SpaceXAI1%
Nvidia1%
CartesiaWon
ElevenLabsLost
AlibabaLost
AmazonLost
SpeechifyAILost
VUI LabsLost
StepFunLost
InworldLost
Smallest.aiLost
MiniMaxLost
Fish AudioLost
MistralLost
SpaceXAILost
OpenAILost
GoogleLost
NvidiaLost
AsyncLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Alibaba is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Speech Arena Leaderboard on Sep 11, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Artificial Analysis - Speech Arena
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If SpeechifyAI is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Speech Arena Leaderboard on Sep 11, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.