KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (68%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 1:28 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 11:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Yes 68%
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
28.0% / 69.0%
Spread
41.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 1:00 PMAug 21, 26, 11:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes68%
No32%
68%
32%
Rules
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for August 20, 2026 is above 3.62%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for August 20, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”.
- Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for SOFR up or down for August 20, 2026??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 68% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does SOFR up or down for August 20, 2026? resolve?
- SOFR up or down for August 20, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is SOFR up or down for August 20, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for August 20, 2026 is above 3.62%, then the market resolves to Yes.