KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
5.13% or above 99%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.1K
Liquidity
$5.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Aug 21, 26, 7:30 PMAug 24, 26, 7:30 PM
Trends
0%
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on Aug 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 24, 2026, or one week following Aug 24, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on Aug 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on Aug 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.16% on Aug 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.18% on Aug 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 24, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 5.13% or above at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 24, 2026? resolve?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 24, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 24, 2026.
- How is 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 24, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on Aug 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.