KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Between 1 and 6,999,999 pounds (99%)
Resolved: Oct 14, 2026, 5:45 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 4:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Between 7 million and 10,999,999 pounds2%
At least 23 million pounds1%
Closed1%
Between 1 and 6,999,999 pounds99%
Between 11 million and 15,999,999 pounds1%
Between 16 million and 22,999,999 pounds1%
Between 1 and 6,999,999 poundsWon
Between 7 million and 10,999,999 poundsLost
ClosedLost
Between 11 million and 15,999,999 poundsLost
Between 16 million and 22,999,999 poundsLost
At least 23 million poundsLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the total allowable catch set by ADF&G for the 2026/27 Bering Sea District snow crab fishery is exactly None, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Alaska Department of Fish and Game
- The settling figure is the amount labeled “Total” in ADF&G’s official annual harvest specifications for the Bering Sea District snow crab fishery.
- This is the combined Individual Fishing Quota (IFQ) and Community Development Quota (CDQ) amount and includes any additional allocation that ADF&G incorporates into the Total, including an allocation for hybrid crab.
- A separately stated base, recommended, IFQ-only, or CDQ-only amount will not be used.
- If ADF&G initially announces a TAC and subsequently revises it before expiration, the most recently announced TAC as of expiration will control.
- Revisions announced after expiration will not affect settlement.
