KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (74%)
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 4:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes74%
No26%
YesWon
NoLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
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ForecastExWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,150 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill palladium prices increase by more than 5% due to U.S. antidumping duties on Russian supply by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Palladium on Oct 22, 2026 at 12:15 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth PALLADIUM candlestick at 12:00 AM EDT on October 22, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Palladium
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.