KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 21% 32%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$241
Liquidity
$241
Low liquiditySpread
80.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 5:00 PM UTCSep 27, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Anthropic share of spend on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiMoonshot AI share of spend on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiOpenAI share of requests on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiAnthropic share of requests on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiRules
If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 26, 2026 is above 18%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal.
- At 10:00 AM ET on Sep 27, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 26, 2026.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 26, 2026 is above 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?
- Ballroom99%
- Melania99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $771.1K
- 24h Vol
- $769.7K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt99%
- OpenAI-0.1pt1%
- Meta0%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.3pt71.3%
- ChatGPT-0.5pt12.9%
- Gemini8.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.1M
POLYMARKETTrump renames AI by September 30?
- No+8.5pt80.2%
- Yes-8.5pt19.8%
- Total Vol
- $228.6K
- 24h Vol
- $53.5K
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.3%+6.0pt98%
- Above 2.5%+3.0pt94%
- Above 2.6%+8.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIMoonshot AI share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
- Above 13%99%
- Above 19%1%
- Above 21%1%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $34.8K
- 24h Vol
- $34.8K
- Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
- Best AI this week
- Anthropic share of requests on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Qwen market share this week
- OpenAI share of requests on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
- OpenAI share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- DeepSeek share of requests on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for OpenAI share of spend on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel)?
- Kalshi prices Above 21% at 32% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does OpenAI share of spend on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel) resolve?
- OpenAI share of spend on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel) is scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2026.
- How is OpenAI share of spend on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 26, 2026 is above 18%, then the market resolves to Yes.