KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 25, 2026, 6:17 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 13% 0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
94.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 5:00 PM UTCSep 27, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Rules
If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 26, 2026 is above 13%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs, rounded to one decimal.
- At 10:00 AM ET on Sep 27, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 26, 2026.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 26, 2026 is above 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?
- Ballroom99%
- Melania99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $771.1K
- 24h Vol
- $769.7K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt99%
- OpenAI-0.1pt1%
- Meta0%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.3pt71.3%
- ChatGPT-0.5pt12.9%
- Gemini8.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.1M
POLYMARKETTrump renames AI by September 30?
- No+8.5pt80.2%
- Yes-8.5pt19.8%
- Total Vol
- $228.6K
- 24h Vol
- $53.5K
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.3%+6.0pt98%
- Above 2.5%+3.0pt94%
- Above 2.6%+8.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIMoonshot AI share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
- Above 13%99%
- Above 19%1%
- Above 21%1%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $34.8K
- 24h Vol
- $34.8K
- Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
- Best AI this week
- Anthropic share of requests on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Qwen market share this week
- OpenAI share of requests on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
- OpenAI share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- DeepSeek share of requests on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for OpenAI share of requests on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel)?
- Kalshi prices Above 13% at 0% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does OpenAI share of requests on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel) resolve?
- OpenAI share of requests on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel) is scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2026.
- How is OpenAI share of requests on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 26, 2026 is above 13%, then the market resolves to Yes.