KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activitySource data degradedStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 12:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 16.6% · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Above 16.6% 50%
Above 16.6% 50%Market quality
7 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
— / —
Above 16.6%Spread
—
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 26, 4:00 PM UTCNov 5, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 16.6%
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
OpenAI share of requests on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiAnthropic share of requests on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiDeepSeek share of requests on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiAnthropic share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiOpenAI Market Share
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Nov 4, 2026 is above 16.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 5, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 16.6%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Nov 4, 2026 is above 16.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17.7%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Nov 4, 2026 is above 17.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18.3%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Nov 4, 2026 is above 18.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18.8%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Nov 4, 2026 is above 18.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 19.3%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Nov 4, 2026 is above 19.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 19.9%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Nov 4, 2026 is above 19.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20.6%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Nov 4, 2026 is above 20.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 21.4%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Nov 4, 2026 is above 21.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 22.4%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Nov 4, 2026 is above 22.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.