KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 28,960 or above (98%)
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 6:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
28,960 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 5:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
29,070 or above1%
29,170 or above17%
29,230 or above9%
29,260 or above9%
29,250 or above9%
29,240 or above9%
28,880 or above99%
29,480 or above1%
29,460 or above1%
29,360 or above9%
30,080 or above10%
30,130 or above7%
30,090 or above9%
30,180 or above5%
30,070 or above11%
29,290 or above9%
29,620 or above37%
29,270 or above9%
29,300 or above9%
29,540 or above52%
29,280 or above9%
29,310 or above9%
29,320 or above9%
29,330 or above9%
29,340 or above9%
28,870 or above99%
29,350 or above9%
29,370 or above9%
29,380 or above2%
29,390 or above9%
29,400 or above9%
29,410 or above2%
29,420 or above2%
29,430 or above2%
29,450 or above2%
29,910 or above1%
27,400 or above99%
27,410 or above99%
27,420 or above99%
27,430 or above99%
27,440 or above99%
27,450 or above99%
27,460 or above99%
27,470 or above99%
27,480 or above99%
27,490 or above99%
27,500 or above99%
27,510 or above99%
27,520 or above99%
27,530 or above99%
27,540 or above99%
27,550 or above99%
27,560 or above99%
27,570 or above99%
27,580 or above99%
27,590 or above99%
27,600 or above99%
27,610 or above99%
27,620 or above99%
27,630 or above99%
27,640 or above99%
27,650 or above99%
27,660 or above99%
27,670 or above99%
27,680 or above99%
29,030 or above2%
29,000 or above20%
28,980 or above74%
29,040 or above18%
28,960 or above98%
28,950 or above99%
29,050 or above6%
29,020 or above2%
29,110 or above6%
28,940 or above97%
29,010 or above2%
28,990 or above40%
28,970 or above92%
29,090 or above18%
28,950 or aboveLost
28,890 or aboveLost
28,780 or aboveLost
28,790 or aboveLost
28,800 or aboveLost
28,810 or aboveLost
28,820 or aboveLost
28,840 or aboveLost
27,400 or aboveLost
27,410 or aboveLost
27,420 or aboveLost
27,430 or aboveLost
27,440 or aboveLost
27,450 or aboveLost
27,460 or aboveLost
27,470 or aboveLost
27,480 or aboveLost
27,490 or aboveLost
27,500 or aboveLost
27,510 or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Oct 22, 2026 at 2pm EDT is above 27399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on October 22, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 22, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Oct 22, 2026 at 2pm EDT is above 27409.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
