KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 29,300 or above (81%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 7:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 6:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
29,200 or above 99%Leader of 100 outcomes
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.6K
Liquidity
$5.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 8:00 PMAug 21, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
29,220 or above51%
29,250 or above93%
28,290 or above96%
29,480 or above4%
29,070 or above89%
29,490 or above4%
29,060 or above89%
29,280 or above67%
29,290 or above45%
29,460 or above6%
29,470 or above6%
29,030 or above54%
29,350 or above35%
29,360 or above41%
29,040 or above56%
29,130 or above65%
29,160 or above63%
29,050 or above58%
29,340 or above8%
29,200 or above51%
29,210 or above51%
29,230 or above51%
29,240 or above51%
29,260 or above51%
29,170 or above51%
29,180 or above51%
29,190 or above51%
27,400 or above0%
27,410 or above0%
27,420 or above0%
27,430 or above0%
27,440 or above0%
27,450 or above0%
27,460 or above0%
27,470 or above0%
27,480 or above0%
27,490 or above0%
27,500 or above0%
27,510 or above0%
27,520 or above0%
27,530 or above0%
27,540 or above0%
27,550 or above0%
27,560 or above0%
27,570 or above0%
27,580 or above0%
27,590 or above0%
27,600 or above0%
27,610 or above0%
27,620 or above0%
27,630 or above0%
27,640 or above0%
27,650 or above0%
27,660 or above0%
27,670 or above0%
27,680 or above0%
27,690 or above0%
27,700 or above0%
27,710 or above0%
27,720 or above0%
27,730 or above0%
27,740 or above0%
27,750 or above0%
27,760 or above0%
27,770 or above0%
27,780 or above0%
27,790 or above0%
27,800 or above0%
27,810 or above0%
27,820 or above0%
27,830 or above0%
27,840 or above0%
27,850 or above0%
27,860 or above0%
27,870 or above0%
27,880 or above0%
27,890 or above0%
27,900 or above0%
27,910 or above0%
27,920 or above0%
27,930 or above0%
27,940 or above0%
27,950 or above0%
27,960 or above0%
27,970 or above0%
27,980 or above0%
27,990 or above0%
28,000 or above0%
28,010 or above0%
29,310 or above51%
29,300 or above81%
29,270 or above87%
99%
99%
98%
96%
96%
94%
93%
89%
89%
87%
81%
79%
75%
67%
65%
63%
58%
56%
54%
51%
Rules
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Aug 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above 27399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on August 21, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after August 21, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Aug 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above 27409.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
