KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 29,340 or above (83%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 4:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
29,340 or above
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 3:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
28,320 or above 99%Leader of 100 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$16.3K
Liquidity
$10.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 8:00 PMAug 21, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
29,260 or above95%
29,270 or above88%
29,320 or above90%
29,280 or above90%
29,290 or above75%
28,320 or above99%
28,330 or above99%
28,340 or above99%
29,200 or above98%
29,440 or above2%
29,450 or above2%
28,350 or above99%
28,270 or above99%
28,280 or above99%
29,220 or above95%
28,370 or above99%
28,360 or above99%
29,360 or above70%
29,420 or above4%
29,410 or above4%
28,390 or above99%
28,380 or above99%
29,310 or above93%
29,430 or above3%
28,400 or above99%
29,390 or above25%
27,400 or above99%
29,540 or above1%
29,590 or above1%
29,300 or above38%
29,240 or above78%
29,380 or above61%
29,400 or above6%
29,230 or above75%
29,370 or above12%
29,130 or above95%
29,460 or above3%
29,250 or above67%
29,210 or above83%
29,160 or above51%
29,170 or above51%
29,180 or above51%
29,190 or above51%
29,350 or above12%
27,410 or above0%
27,420 or above0%
27,430 or above0%
27,440 or above0%
27,450 or above0%
27,460 or above0%
27,470 or above0%
27,480 or above0%
27,490 or above0%
27,500 or above0%
27,510 or above0%
27,520 or above0%
27,530 or above0%
27,540 or above0%
27,550 or above0%
27,560 or above0%
27,570 or above0%
27,580 or above0%
27,590 or above0%
27,600 or above0%
27,610 or above0%
27,620 or above0%
27,630 or above0%
27,640 or above0%
27,650 or above0%
27,660 or above0%
27,670 or above0%
27,680 or above0%
27,690 or above0%
27,700 or above0%
27,710 or above0%
27,720 or above0%
27,730 or above0%
27,740 or above0%
27,750 or above0%
27,760 or above0%
27,770 or above0%
27,780 or above0%
27,790 or above0%
27,800 or above0%
27,810 or above0%
27,820 or above0%
27,830 or above0%
27,840 or above0%
27,850 or above0%
27,860 or above0%
27,870 or above0%
27,880 or above0%
27,890 or above0%
27,900 or above0%
27,910 or above0%
27,920 or above0%
27,930 or above0%
27,940 or above0%
27,950 or above0%
29,340 or above83%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
95%
95%
95%
93%
90%
90%
88%
Rules
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 27399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on August 21, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after August 21, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 27409.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Equities
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
- $104K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA73.7%
- Apple14.1%
- Alphabet10.1%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.1M
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-1.0pt15.6%
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt12.8%
- 8,200 to 8,399.99-1.0pt10.1%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETSTRC hits $100 by…
- December 31+2.0pt65.7%
- September 3034.3%
- June 30-0.4pt0%
- Total Vol
- $611.4K
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+1.0pt21.2%
- 31,500 to 31,999.997.1%
- 32,000 to 32,499.99-1.0pt5%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX-0.5pt52%
- Anthropic48%
- xAI26%
+71 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.5M
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
- Private Companies - greatest valuation growth August 2026
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?
- What will Ulta say during their next earnings call?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by August 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT??
- Kalshi prices 28,320 or above at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT? resolve?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Aug 21, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 27399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.