KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 29,210 or above (51%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 2:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
29,210 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
29,100 or above 95%Leader of 100 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$42.9K
Liquidity
$43.4K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 8:00 PMAug 21, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
29,250 or above63%
28,600 or above79%
29,040 or above53%
29,130 or above46%
29,090 or above43%
29,100 or above87%
29,050 or above57%
29,110 or above54%
29,140 or above49%
29,150 or above50%
28,650 or above81%
28,670 or above83%
28,680 or above83%
28,620 or above83%
28,660 or above83%
28,750 or above81%
28,710 or above81%
28,700 or above83%
28,740 or above83%
29,160 or above48%
28,720 or above82%
28,730 or above82%
29,180 or above51%
27,400 or above0%
27,410 or above0%
27,420 or above0%
27,430 or above0%
27,440 or above0%
27,450 or above0%
27,460 or above0%
27,470 or above0%
27,480 or above0%
27,490 or above0%
27,500 or above0%
27,510 or above0%
27,520 or above0%
27,530 or above0%
27,540 or above0%
27,550 or above0%
27,560 or above0%
27,570 or above0%
27,580 or above0%
27,590 or above0%
27,600 or above0%
27,610 or above0%
27,620 or above0%
27,630 or above0%
27,640 or above0%
27,650 or above0%
27,660 or above0%
27,670 or above0%
27,680 or above0%
27,690 or above0%
27,700 or above0%
27,710 or above0%
27,720 or above0%
27,730 or above0%
27,740 or above0%
27,750 or above0%
27,760 or above0%
27,770 or above0%
27,780 or above0%
27,790 or above0%
27,800 or above0%
27,810 or above0%
27,820 or above0%
27,830 or above0%
27,840 or above0%
27,850 or above0%
27,860 or above0%
27,870 or above0%
27,880 or above0%
27,890 or above0%
27,900 or above0%
27,910 or above0%
27,920 or above0%
27,930 or above0%
27,940 or above0%
27,950 or above0%
27,960 or above0%
27,970 or above0%
27,980 or above0%
27,990 or above0%
28,000 or above0%
29,270 or above54%
29,440 or above2%
29,240 or above52%
29,320 or above24%
29,340 or above51%
29,450 or above84%
29,260 or above51%
29,280 or above51%
29,290 or above51%
29,300 or above51%
29,310 or above31%
29,330 or above51%
29,360 or above51%
95%
84%
83%
83%
83%
83%
83%
83%
82%
82%
81%
81%
81%
80%
79%
63%
57%
54%
54%
52%
Rules
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Aug 21, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 27399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on August 21, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after August 21, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Aug 21, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 27409.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Equities
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
- $104K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA73.7%
- Apple14.1%
- Alphabet10.1%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.1M
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-1.0pt15.6%
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt12.8%
- 8,200 to 8,399.99-1.0pt10.1%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETSTRC hits $100 by…
- December 31+2.0pt65.7%
- September 3034.3%
- June 30-0.4pt0%
- Total Vol
- $611.4K
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+1.0pt21.2%
- 31,500 to 31,999.997.1%
- 32,000 to 32,499.99-1.0pt5%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX-0.5pt52%
- Anthropic48%
- xAI26%
+71 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.5M
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
- Private Companies - greatest valuation growth August 2026
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?
- What will Ulta say during their next earnings call?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by August 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 21, 2026 at 10am EDT??
- Kalshi prices 29,100 or above at 95% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 21, 2026 at 10am EDT? resolve?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 21, 2026 at 10am EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 21, 2026 at 10am EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Aug 21, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 27399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.