KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 7,640 or above (45%)
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 3:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
7,640 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 2:41 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
7,630 or above87%
7,620 or above95%
7,645 or above32%
7,635 or above71%
7,625 or above91%
7,615 or above97%
7,655 or above1%
7,610 or above99%
7,650 or above13%
7,605 or above99%
7,600 or above99%
7,665 or above1%
7,660 or above2%
7,640 or above45%
7,670 or above1%
7,680 or above1%
7,690 or above1%
7,685 or above1%
7,700 or above1%
7,695 or above1%
7,705 or above1%
7,675 or above1%
7,710 or above1%
7,715 or above1%
7,720 or above1%
7,725 or above0%
7,730 or above0%
7,735 or above0%
7,740 or above0%
7,745 or above0%
7,750 or above0%
7,755 or above0%
7,760 or above0%
7,765 or above0%
7,770 or above0%
7,775 or above0%
7,780 or above0%
7,785 or above0%
7,790 or above0%
7,795 or above0%
7,800 or above0%
7,805 or above0%
7,810 or above0%
7,815 or above0%
7,820 or above0%
7,825 or above0%
7,830 or above0%
7,835 or above0%
7,840 or above0%
7,845 or above0%
7,850 or above0%
7,855 or above0%
7,860 or above0%
7,865 or above0%
7,870 or above0%
7,875 or above0%
7,880 or above0%
7,885 or above0%
7,890 or above0%
7,895 or above0%
7,610 or aboveLost
7,605 or aboveLost
7,600 or aboveLost
7,615 or aboveLost
7,620 or aboveLost
7,625 or aboveLost
7,630 or aboveLost
7,635 or aboveLost
7,640 or aboveWon
7,645 or aboveLost
7,650 or aboveLost
7,660 or aboveLost
7,655 or aboveLost
7,665 or aboveLost
7,670 or aboveLost
7,680 or aboveLost
7,690 or aboveLost
7,685 or aboveLost
7,700 or aboveLost
7,695 or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 23, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 7599.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on October 23, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 23, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 23, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 7604.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.