KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 93° to 94° (99%)
Resolved: Sep 2, 2026, 12:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
93° to 94°
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
42%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 2, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
95° or above1%
93° to 94°99%
91° to 92°13%
89° to 90°4%
87° to 88°2%
86° or below2%
93° to 94°Won
95° or aboveLost
91° to 92°Lost
89° to 90°Lost
87° to 88°Lost
86° or belowLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Sep 1, 2026, is less than 87° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Sep 1, 2026, is between 87-88° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.