KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 90 0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
98.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Aug 28, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 2:29 AM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Amazon Credit Card Spend in September
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Manifold Markets[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Manifold MarketsManifold Credit Default swaps 2030
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Carbon Arc Home Depot Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Home Depot Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.5pt91%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $650.6K
- 24h Vol
- $522.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+19.0pt84%
- 65-89-3.0pt16%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt78.2%
- Apple-0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.4%
- 200-21917.5%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.5%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $137.4K
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $220.4K
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Largest Company end of September?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Home Depot Credit Card Spend in September?
- Kalshi prices Above 90 at 0% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Home Depot Credit Card Spend in September resolve?
- Home Depot Credit Card Spend in September is scheduled to resolve on October 7, 2026.
- How is Home Depot Credit Card Spend in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Carbon Arc Home Depot Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.