KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Gold 73.6%+3.0ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$188.8
Liquidity
$6.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
24.0% / 26.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 11:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold?
KalshiGold and silver will outperform bitcoin in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich of Bitcoin, Gold and Silver will have the worst 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnnual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. BTC?
KalshiAnnual Return: WTI vs. Brent?
KalshiWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketRules
If Gold performs above Silver during 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest thousandth then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth
- If Silver performs above Gold during 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest thousandth then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $460.1K
- 24h Vol
- $459.9K
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $230.5K
- 24h Vol
- $230.4K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $91.2K
- 24h Vol
- $91.2K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Annual Return: Gold vs. Silver?
- Kalshi prices Gold at 74% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Annual Return: Gold vs. Silver resolve?
- Annual Return: Gold vs. Silver is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Annual Return: Gold vs. Silver settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Gold performs above Silver during 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest thousandth then the market resolves to Yes.