KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
S&P 500 Total Return Index 75%+2.0ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$818.6
Liquidity
$9.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 25.0%
Spread
13.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
May 19, 26, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the named outcome performs above BTC for the week of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes.
- Percent return is calculated from the official open price of each asset on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026.
- For example, if the the named outcome opens at $5,800 on January 2, 2026 and at $6,380 on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of the S&P 500 TR is +10.000%.
- If BTC performs above the named outcome for the week of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes.