KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: above 1625 (99%)
Resolved: Aug 5, 2026, 9:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
above 1625
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 5, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
above 1625 99%+38.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$3.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 43 days ago
StaleMay 20, 26, 6:39 PM UTCOct 2, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
above 167518%
above 15750%
above 15500%
above 16501%
above 162568%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Figma, Inc. reports the named outcome paid customers $100k arr in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
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