KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Above 129.0 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$3.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
54.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 44 minutes ago
Aug 8, 26, 7:15 PMSep 4, 26, 6:55 AM
Trends
99%
99%
99%
99%
87%
38%
31%
1%
0%
0%
Rules
If the FAO Food Price Index for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the headline FAO Food Price Index, not the Cereal, Vegetable Oil, Meat, Dairy, or Sugar sub-index.
- The relevant observation is the August 2026 monthly value first reported in FAO’s Food Price Index scheduled for release on Sep 4, 2026.
- Subsequent revisions do not apply.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+11.0pt56%
- 25 bps increase-11.0pt43%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $86.2M
- 24h Vol
- $6M
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $466.2K
- 24h Vol
- $76K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes-8.5pt62%
- No+8.5pt38%
- Total Vol
- $8.5M
- 24h Vol
- $51.4K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting-10.0pt57.1%
- September Meeting-13.5pt42.9%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-3.5pt35.9%
- 0 (0 bps)+8.0pt34.9%
- 2 (50 bps)-2.5pt22.6%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation US - Annual
- 3.4%-4.0pt39.3%
- 3.3%-1.0pt31.3%
- 3.5%+2.0pt10.7%
+9 more outcomes
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- How high will inflation get this year?
- CPI in August
- Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August Inflation China - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for FAO Food Price Index in August?
- Kalshi prices Above 129.0 at 99% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does FAO Food Price Index in August resolve?
- FAO Food Price Index in August is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is FAO Food Price Index in August settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the FAO Food Price Index for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.