KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 1.8 million 98%+2.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13.3K
Liquidity
$27K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 9, 26, 10:17 PM UTCMar 31, 28, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Tesla's fleet sales constitute over 30% of total vehicle sales by December 31, 2027
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KalshiFord total vehicles US sales in Q3
KalshiWill Ford go bankrupt before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla's Q3 2026 vehicle deliveries match or beat its Q2 2026 total of 480,126?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Ford Motor Company reports Above 1800000.0 u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
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- If Ford Motor Company reports Above 1850000.0 u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ford Motor Company reports Above 1900000.0 u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ford Motor Company reports Above 1950000.0 u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.7pt97%
- Apple3%
- Alphabet-0.1pt0%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $128.6K
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M95%
- $25M93%
- $50M87%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $128.3K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.5pt77.7%
- Apple+0.3pt13.6%
- Alphabet-0.5pt6.8%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+15.5pt65.7%
- 65-89-2.0pt19.2%
- <40-12.0pt12.1%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.4%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.5%
- 160-17913.6%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.2K
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Chewy active customers in Q2
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 1.8 million at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026 resolve?
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2028.
- How is Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Ford Motor Company reports Above 1800000.0 u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.