Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72.1%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Jun 4, 25, 9:32 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market predicts whether sales to fleet operators will account for more than 30% of Tesla's total vehicle sales by the end of 2027.
- Currently, Tesla's sales are primarily to individual consumers.
- Source Resolution will be based on Tesla's official sales data for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2027.
- Update 2026-03-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Cybercabs and other vehicles transferred to Tesla's robotaxi division do not count as fleet sales for the purposes of this market's resolution.