Main Race Winning Margin: Brazil Grand Prix
64.0 pts (24h)Latin AmericaOne-OffMotorsportSportsAwaiting resolution
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
10.000 seconds or more · —
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Stored price
10.000 seconds or more 99.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
10.000 seconds or more 99.5%Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Open interest
$4.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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10.000 seconds or moreSpread
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Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 9:37 PM UTCNov 8, 26, 10:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · 10.000 seconds or more
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the winning margin in Brazil Grand Prix, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 is at least 10.000 seconds, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FIA
- The winning margin is the gap between first and second in the FIA's Final Race Classification, including penalties and disqualifications reflected in that classification. Live timing and the on-track gap do not override it. The first final classification governs later steward decisions; reviews and appeals do not change that reference classification. The team selection is Any: this market uses the winner's margin regardless of team. The second-placed driver can be a teammate of the winner. The four ranges are below 2.500 seconds; 2.500 through 4.999 seconds, inclusive; 5.000 through 9.999 seconds, inclusive; and at least 10.000 seconds. The bounds use the contract's 0.001-second increments. Use the FIA's published gap without rounding. A gap of exactly 2.500, 5.000 or 10.000 seconds belongs to the range starting at that value. If second place is one or more laps behind, or the winner is the only classified driver, the margin is deemed greater than every threshold: the at-least-10.000-seconds market resolves Yes and the other three resolve No. A dead heat for first gives a margin of 0.000 seconds and falls in the below-2.500-seconds range. If the race begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market follows that race. Cancellation or failure to start within 48 hours resolves at the last fair price under the contract. For a suspended race, the FIA's Final Race Classification governs. If no winner is classified, no championship points are awarded, or no underlying data is available by expiration, the applicable last-fair-price provisions apply. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- 10.000 seconds or more
- If the winning margin in Brazil Grand Prix, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 is at least 10.000 seconds, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.000–9.999 seconds
- If the winning margin in Brazil Grand Prix, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 is between 5.000 and 9.999 seconds, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2.500–4.999 seconds
- If the winning margin in Brazil Grand Prix, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 is between 2.500 and 4.999 seconds, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Under 2.500 seconds
- If the winning margin in Brazil Grand Prix, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 is below 2.500 seconds, then the market resolves to Yes.
