KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 480 thousand 93%+10.0ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$15K
Liquidity
$18.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 23, 26, 5:19 PM UTCJan 29, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3
KalshiWill the Vinfast EV plant in North Carolina, USA produce vehicles by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRocket Lab vehicles launched in Q3
KalshiFord US vehicle sales volume in 2026
KalshiWill Ford go bankrupt before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Ford Motor Company reports Above 480000 total vehicles us sales volume in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Ford Motor Company reports Above 490000 total vehicles us sales volume in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ford Motor Company reports Above 500000 total vehicles us sales volume in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ford Motor Company reports Above 510000 total vehicles us sales volume in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $190.5K
- 24h Vol
- $190.5K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt96%
- Apple-0.1pt3%
- Alphabet+0.2pt1%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt56.4%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.7%
- 90-114+2.1pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $211.6K
- 24h Vol
- $45.2K
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.2K
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Chewy active customers in Q2
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3?
- Kalshi prices Above 480 thousand at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 resolve?
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 is scheduled to resolve on January 29, 2027.
- How is Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Ford Motor Company reports Above 480000 total vehicles us sales volume in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.