KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:03 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 59.5 million · —
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Stored price
Above 61.5 million 58.5%Market line of 13 lines
Above 61.5 million 58.5%Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$2.4K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 59.5 millionSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 29, 26, 2:36 PM UTCMar 5, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 59.5 million
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Duolingo paid subscribers in Q3
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 61500000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
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Rules for each outcome
- Above 59.5 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 59500000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 59 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 59000000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 60000000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60.5 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 60500000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 61 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 61000000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 61.5 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 61500000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 62 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 62000000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 62.5 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 62500000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 63 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 63000000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 63.5 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 63500000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 64 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 64000000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 64.5 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 64500000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65 million
- If Duolingo Inc. reports Above 65000000.0 daily active users in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
