KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Hike 1-25bps 47.2%-17.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$479.9
Low liquiditySpread
16.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 37 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 2:00 AMOct 7, 26, 4:29 AM
Trends
Rules
If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of the named outcome at the October Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October?
- Kalshi prices Hike 1-25bps at 47% as of August 31, 2026.
- When does Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October resolve?
- Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October is scheduled to resolve on October 7, 2026.
- How is Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of the named outcome at the October Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
