KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Hike 1-25bps (91%)
Resolved: Oct 7, 2026, 2:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 10:57 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Maintain current rate3%
Hike 1-25bps91%
Hike 1-25bpsWon
Cut more than 25bpsLost
Maintain current rateLost
Hike more than 25bpsLost
Cut 1-25bpsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of the named outcome at the October Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
