KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 87%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 4.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Mar 2, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Patek Philippe
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year??
- Kalshi prices No at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? resolve?
- Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.