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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump lower beef tariffs?
Will Trump lower beef tariffs?

Will Trump lower beef tariffs?

5.0% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyUS PoliticsPoliticsElection19d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 9%-5.0%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.2

Liquidity

$28.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

5.0% / 8.0%

Spread

60.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

May 16, 26, 9:00 PMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before Jul 1, 20269%

Rules

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action lowering tariffs on beef imports (incl. suspension of tariff-rate quotas) before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
  • Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
  • Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
  • The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
  • If Donald Trump has taken any executive action lowering tariffs on beef imports (incl. suspension of tariff-rate quotas) before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Manifold Markets

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$0
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Active in these topics

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Rules

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action lowering tariffs on beef imports (incl. suspension of tariff-rate quotas) before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
  • Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
  • Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
  • The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
  • If Donald Trump has taken any executive action lowering tariffs on beef imports (incl. suspension of tariff-rate quotas) before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.