KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityBelow 39.6 3%+1.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20K
Liquidity
$44.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 4.0%
Spread
33.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingJul 3, 26, 3:00 PMJul 10, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Below 39.63%
Also available on Polymarket
Trump approval rating on July 10?
22.0%3d
+10.5%47%
+39.5%43%
+2.5%41%
+3 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.3K
24h Vol$705.3
POLYMARKET
Also available on PredictIt
Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on July 10?
11.0%2d
-11.0%2%
0%
0%
+6 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
PREDICTITRules
If the President's approval rating is below 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on July 10, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on July 10, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.6 and 39.8% at 11:00 AM ET on July 10, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.9 and 40.1% at 11:00 AM ET on July 10, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.2 and 40.4% at 11:00 AM ET on July 10, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.5 and 40.7% at 11:00 AM ET on July 10, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$20.0kJul 35d of dataJul 7
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If the President's approval rating is below 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on July 10, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on July 10, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.6 and 39.8% at 11:00 AM ET on July 10, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.9 and 40.1% at 11:00 AM ET on July 10, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.2 and 40.4% at 11:00 AM ET on July 10, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.5 and 40.7% at 11:00 AM ET on July 10, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.