PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability39.0–39.4 47%+10.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$705.3
Liquidity
$8.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 25.0%
Spread
127.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 44 minutes ago
Jul 3, 26, 9:56 PMJul 10, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
39.0–39.447%
Also available on Kalshi
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
2d
3%
+5.0%10%
+7.0%34%
+5 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$64.6K
24h Vol$16.7K
KALSHI
Also available on PredictIt
Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on July 10?
11.0%2d
-11.0%2%
0%
0%
+6 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
PREDICTITRules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$705Jul 44d of dataJul 7
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This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).