KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Before Oct 1, 2026 (99%)
Resolved: Sep 22, 2026, 5:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 22, 2026, 4:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Before Sep 1, 20267%
Before Oct 1, 202699%
Before Nov 1, 202698%
Before Dec 1, 202699%
Before Jan 1, 202799%
Before Feb 1, 202799%
Before Mar 1, 202799%
Before Oct 1, 2026Won
Before Dec 1, 2026Lost
Before Jan 1, 2027Lost
Before Feb 1, 2027Lost
Before Mar 1, 2027Lost
Before Nov 1, 2026Lost
Before Sep 1, 2026Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Miley Cyrus releases a new album the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Spotify