KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Jul 13, 2026, 5:45 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 99%
Market quality
21 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 50 days ago
StaleJun 23, 26, 12:30 AMJul 12, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
99%
1%
Rules
If CONFESSIONS II by Madonna has above 62.8K Album Equivalent Units during the July 03, 2026 - July 09, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the July 03, 2026 - July 09, 2026 tracking week.
- Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market metrics which does not endorse, verify or participate in any way in the outcomes of any prediction market.
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKET# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look on week 1?
- <20M+2.0pt73%
- 20-22M-4.0pt25%
- 22-24M-0.8pt2%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $519.8K
- 24h Vol
- $221.5K
KALSHIOnslaught · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+4.0pt99%
- Above 45+3.0pt99%
- Above 55+1.0pt97%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $181.5K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 940 - 950m+12.0pt59.8%
- <940m+1.5pt20.6%
- 950 - 960m-8.0pt18.6%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look+10.3pt98%
- The Whisper Man (2026)-11.9pt1%
- Facing El Chapo+0.1pt1%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIGrand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Before January 202898%
- Before July 202797%
- Before 2027+1.0pt93%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $44.4K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+2.0pt22.7%
- Dee Valladares-3.0pt16.5%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt10.3%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Dancing with the Stars S35: Contestants
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Highest grossing movie in 2026?
- Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
- Fuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Next James Bond actor?
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Madonna top Paul McCartney's first-week album sales??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 99% as of July 13, 2026.
- When does Will Madonna top Paul McCartney's first-week album sales? resolve?
- Will Madonna top Paul McCartney's first-week album sales? is scheduled to resolve on July 12, 2026.
- How is Will Madonna top Paul McCartney's first-week album sales? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If CONFESSIONS II by Madonna has above 62.8K Album Equivalent Units during the July 03, 2026 - July 09, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.