KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Nov 3, 2026, 10:36 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 102.5 · —
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Stored price
Above 102.5 50%
Above 102.5 50%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
— / —
Above 102.5Spread
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Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 3:09 AM UTCDec 5, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 102.5
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
American Airlines Credit Card Spend in October
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Carbon Arc American Airlines Credit Card Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 102.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4th. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means American Airlines Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data arrives. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 102.5
- If the Carbon Arc American Airlines Credit Card Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 102.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 106.5
- If the Carbon Arc American Airlines Credit Card Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 106.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 108.5
- If the Carbon Arc American Airlines Credit Card Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 108.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110.5
- If the Carbon Arc American Airlines Credit Card Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 110.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 112
- If the Carbon Arc American Airlines Credit Card Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 112 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 114
- If the Carbon Arc American Airlines Credit Card Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 114 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 116
- If the Carbon Arc American Airlines Credit Card Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 116 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 121
- If the Carbon Arc American Airlines Credit Card Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 121 , then the market resolves to Yes.
