Target Yield: 4.85435%
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Yes 96%
Yes 96%Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Open interest
$1.3K
Low open interestBid / Ask
97.0% / 99.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 51 minutes ago
LaggingNov 5, 26, 7:45 AM UTCNov 5, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Yes96%
No4%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket7Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?
Kalshi2Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?
KalshiMacro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Pyth - 10Y UST
- The market resolves based on the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick for 10-year U.S. Treasury ending at 3:00 AM EST on Nov 5, 2026. The 10-year U.S. Treasury refers to the US10Y, the current on-the-run benchmark of the 10-year U.S. Treasury Note as identified on the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 5 decimal places. Yields are expressed as annualized percentages. The opening target and settlement yield each use the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick immediately preceding their observation time. For a 4:45–5:00 PM EDT market, the opening target uses the candle timestamped 4:44 PM, ending at 4:45 PM; settlement uses the candle timestamped 4:59 PM, ending at 5:00 PM. Candlesticks are timestamped by their start time. If reliable Pyth data is unavailable, the contract’s no-data provisions apply.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.