KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMike Levin 99%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$8.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
96.0% / 98.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 9:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Mike Levin94%
Compare venues· Mike Levin
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | High | 94% | — | $13.1K | $73.6K | 9 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 94% | — | $0 | $8.6K | 9 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
CA-49 House Election Winner
3mo
94%
-1.0pt6%
0%
+5 more outcomes
81 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$19.7K
24h Vol$13.1K
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for CA-49 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-49 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the House member sworn in for CA-49 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-49 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.