Government wins
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 1:47 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 59%
No 59%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$6.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 52 minutes ago
LaggingOct 23, 23, 9:00 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 9:04 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketAmazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
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PolymarketTexas enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:PACER
- Change as of 5:00 AM ET December 15 2023: The market's terms and conditions note that, "The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event that is encompassed in the Payout Criterion or the first 10:00 AM ET after date." However, the Payout Criterion only encompasses Amazon being found liable for the counts alleged by the FTC, and not just a decision or settlement happening. The language will be amended such that expiration, like the last trading date, will happen once claims are settled, regardless of whether Amazon is found liable for the counts alleged. This will be done as part of the CFTC's provisions that allow for non-economic changes to contracts, and will be reflected in the rules today, December 15th.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
