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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

10.0% (24h)RegulationTechOne-Off3y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 44%-10.0%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.5

Liquidity

$72.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

44.0% / 49.0%

Spread

11.4%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Oct 23, 23, 9:00 PMJan 1, 30, 6:58 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes44%

Rules

District Court for the Western District of Washington rules that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Change as of 5:00 AM ET December 15 2023: The market's terms and conditions note that, "The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event that is encompassed in the Payout Criterion or the first 10:00 AM ET after ." However, the Payout Criterion only encompasses Amazon being found liable for the counts alleged by the FTC, and not just a decision or settlement happening.
  • The language will be amended such that expiration, like the last trading date, will happen once claims are settled, regardless of whether Amazon is found liable for the counts alleged.
  • This will be done as part of the CFTC's provisions that allow for non-economic changes to contracts, and will be reflected in the rules today, December 15th.

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Rules

District Court for the Western District of Washington rules that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Change as of 5:00 AM ET December 15 2023: The market's terms and conditions note that, "The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event that is encompassed in the Payout Criterion or the first 10:00 AM ET after ." However, the Payout Criterion only encompasses Amazon being found liable for the counts alleged by the FTC, and not just a decision or settlement happening.
  • The language will be amended such that expiration, like the last trading date, will happen once claims are settled, regardless of whether Amazon is found liable for the counts alleged.
  • This will be done as part of the CFTC's provisions that allow for non-economic changes to contracts, and will be reflected in the rules today, December 15th.