GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: New Mexico State wins by more than 2.5 points (99%)
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 3:49 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
New Mexico State wins by more than 2.5 points
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 3:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
New Mexico State wins by more than 2.5 points99%
New Mexico State wins by more than 3.5 points99%
New Mexico State wins by more than 1.5 points99%
Sam Houston wins by more than 6.5 points20%
Sam Houston wins by more than 1.5 points37.5%
New Mexico State wins by more than 7.5 points38%
Sam Houston wins by more than 3.5 points29.5%
Sam Houston wins by more than 14.5 points7.5%
New Mexico State wins by more than 14.5 points17.5%
Sam Houston wins by more than 2.5 points36.5%
New Mexico State wins by more than 5.5 points99%
New Mexico State wins by more than 4.5 points99%
New Mexico State wins by more than 6.5 points49%
New Mexico State wins by more than 9.5 points13%
New Mexico State wins by more than 2.5 pointsWon
New Mexico State wins by more than 5.5 pointsLost
New Mexico State wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
New Mexico State wins by more than 3.5 pointsLost
New Mexico State wins by more than 1.5 pointsLost
Sam Houston wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
New Mexico State wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
Sam Houston wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
Sam Houston wins by more than 1.5 pointsLost
New Mexico State wins by more than 7.5 pointsLost
Sam Houston wins by more than 3.5 pointsLost
Sam Houston wins by more than 14.5 pointsLost
New Mexico State wins by more than 9.5 pointsLost
New Mexico State wins by more than 14.5 pointsLost
Sam Houston wins by more than 2.5 pointsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of New Mexico State in the entire college football game between New Mexico State and Sam Houston scheduled for 2026-10-21 at 7:00 p.m. CT is above 2.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (New Mexico State's score minus Sam Houston's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).
