One identity per real-world question — every venue listing it, with match confidence and a public correction history.
Revision 2 · Updated Jul 27, 2026, 1:57 AM UTC · 29668b36-b294-464f-babf-ec62bf74066d
Polymarket · open
Kalshi · open
PredictIt · open
Manifold Markets · open
Manifold Markets · open
Smarkets · open
Manifold Markets · open
Limitless · open
Myriad · open
Gemini · open
Every membership and orientation change, appended and never rewritten.