Religion
114 Märkte insgesamt für Religion erfasst, inklusive abgewickelter. Ein Markt kann unter mehreren Themen erscheinen.
Offene Märkte
104
Gesamtvolumen
$65,994,073
24h-Volumen
$10,849
Gesamtliquidität
$656,357
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3Mon
99%
1%
Hohe Qualität (88)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen65,6 Mio. $
24h-Volumen10.080,4 $
POLYMARKET
Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
4.0 Pkt. (24h)20T
82%
+4.0pt18%
Mittlere Qualität (57)Breiter SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen12.830,6 $
24h-Volumen491,3 $
KALSHI
Who will the next Pope be?
0.6 Pkt. (24h)
+0.6pt6%
+1.5pt5%
+0.8pt5%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
Mittlere Qualität (60)Enger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen137.356,9 $
24h-Volumen173,4 $
KALSHI
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
4.0 Pkt. (24h)3Mon
+4.0pt96%
88%
88%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
Mittlere Qualität (56)Mittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen192.152,9 $
24h-Volumen103,9 $
KALSHI
Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
3Mon
95%
5%
Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Mittlerer SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen20.672,1 $
24h-Volumen—
KALSHI
Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
3.0 Pkt. (24h)3Mon
-3.0pt87%
+3.0pt13%
Niedrige Qualität (33)Breiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen927,7 $
24h-Volumen—
POLYMARKET
Vatican III in 2026?
0.1 Pkt. (24h)
+0.1pt91%
-0.1pt9%
Niedrige Qualität (33)Breiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen10,3 $
24h-Volumen—
POLYMARKET
Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
3Mon
81%
19%
Niedrige Qualität (33)Spread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen3,6 $
24h-Volumen—
FUTUURPope to allow women to preach masses by the end of 2026?
3Mon
96%
4%
Niedrige Qualität (31)Spread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen0,1 $
24h-Volumen—
FUTUUR
Will the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
1J
96%
4%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTIT
Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
2J
97%
3%
Community-Prognose192 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 4 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
2J
70%
30%
Community-Prognose263 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 5 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSGutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
1J
55.3%
44.7%
Community-Prognose18 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 4 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the next pope convene Vatican 3?
78.9%
21.1%
Community-Prognose12 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 6 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSCatholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
2J
85.7%
14.3%
Community-Prognose12 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 6 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
82.6%
17.4%
Community-Prognose20 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 7 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
4J
76.6%
23.4%
Community-Prognose46 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 8 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
3Mon
88%
12%
Community-Prognose21 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 9 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
73%
27%
Community-Prognose5 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 9 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
8J
86.7%
13.3%
Community-Prognose8 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 10 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
1J
94.2%
5.8%
Community-Prognose8 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 11 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
2J
79.2%
20.8%
Community-Prognose16 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 11 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
4J
95.6%
4.4%
Community-Prognose20 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 11 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Jesus Christ return in 2026?
3Mon
99%
1%
Community-Prognose45 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 12 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?
3Mon
95%
5%
Community-Prognose39 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 13 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the LDS Church (Mormons) allow for gay marriage in their temple before the end of 2030?
4J
95.2%
4.8%
Community-Prognose19 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 14 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Jose Luis Ricon have an arranged marriage?
75%
25%
Community-Prognose7 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 14 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the next pope be Italian?
2J
66%
34%
Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 14 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Jose Luis ricon get a tradwife by 2044
18J
54.8%
45.2%
Community-Prognose1 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 14 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSPope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026?
3Mon
79.3%
20.7%
Community-Prognose18 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 14 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)?
3J
98.4%
1.6%
Community-Prognose25 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 15 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the Catholic Church train a PopeGPT and endorse it as doctrinally sound by end of 2027?
3Mon
95%
5%
Community-Prognose53 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 16 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBart Ehrman Will Convert to Esoteric/Gnostic Christianity before 2030?
3J
90.3%
9.7%
Community-Prognose3 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 17 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSDonald Trump becomes a Pope-like figure?
9J
91.3%
8.7%
Community-Prognose30 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100?
70.8%
29.2%
Community-Prognose11 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS[ACX 2026] Will restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church be loosened during 2026?
3Mon
88.6%
11.4%
Community-Prognose18 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 16 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
3Mon
80.7%
19.3%
Community-Prognose55 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 1 StundeMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Joe Schmid be Catholic end of 2026?
3Mon
93.7%
6.3%
Community-Prognose11 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 16 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
63%
37%
Community-Prognose4 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 9 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill jesus respawn before 2027????
3Mon
94.5%
5.5%
Community-Prognose15 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 8 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIs Donald Trump the Antichrist?
2J
73.9%
26.1%
Community-Prognose20 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 13 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn 100 years (2123) will Trump worship will be a thing?
75.1%
24.9%
Community-Prognose16 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 13 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the first ASI proclaim Christianity true?
3Mon
90%
10%
Community-Prognose55 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 13 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years?
96%
4%
Community-Prognose15 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 14 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill "Church Planting: When Venture Capital Finds Jesus" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
4Mon
84.1%
15.9%
Community-Prognose2 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 14 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Bentham's Bulldog be Catholic end of 2026?
3Mon
88.9%
11.1%
Community-Prognose7 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 7 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
2J
96.1%
3.9%
Community-Prognose54 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 15 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Alex O'Connor convert to Christinanity before 2027?
3Mon
91.9%
8.1%
Community-Prognose18 PrognostikerTyp: binary
vor 15 StundenMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS